這也意味一但疫情恐慌好轉，手套股票會因為股價過度透支，而出現大暴跌，生意量也會減少，如現在口罩一樣。
現在問題是，手套股已經是強弩之末了嗎？
我們看下面 TOPGLOVE 技術分析日圖。
除了六月初出現回調外，但很快又漲新高，最近幾天出現回跌。
從技術看，六月初出現回調後的上升，現在各種技術工具已經出現顯著下跌，唯還不是非常非常明顯，因為布林上線沒有往下，
ＭＡＣＤ也沒有死亡交叉。
HARTA 的技術分析日圖也如此，不過下跌信號更不明顯，比 TOPGLOVE 來得強勢。
KOSSAN 下跌信號也一樣不明顯，雖然有信號，但不夠強。介於 TOPGLOVE 和 HARTA 之間。
下來，我們分別看這三支股票的技術分析周圖。
從周圖看，TOPGLOVE 的確出現強弩之末的信號。
它股價升到極端布林上線處，ＭＡＣＤ柱子連續５星期沒有創新高，stoch rsi 和 chaikin osc 出現和股價背離現象。
同樣情況，KOSSAN 和 HARTA 也出現，三者差異在週圖看起來差異不大。
一般上，周圖出現背離現象會比較少見，會出現都是因為一個趨勢持續時間比較久才造成。
也因為這背離是在比較久的時間累積而成，其信號準確性更高。
因為同行都出現相同走勢，所以準確性會更高。
總結：
最後，我們回歸疫情。
現在全球確診病例和死亡人數不斷創新高，但主要集中在美國、巴西和印度。
大多數國家都已經好轉。
這裡假定沒有疫情第二波，那手套股回調概率就很高。
但美國、巴西和印度至今看不見有好轉的跡象（除非病毒自然消失），所以回調最嚴重，大概會跌到布林中線，不大可能跌到布
林下線位置。
當然，如果真在九月、十月出現疫情第二波，那就另當別論了！
可是，手套股真的會回調嗎？
回調是大概率的，問題是會回調多少？
也有可能回調水平只是６月份類似水平，如此就沒必要離場？
但也有可能回調到布林中線位置？
總之，我們很難斷定以一兩個月時間論，手套股會回調多少？
根據自己過去長期的錯誤，我確定了一條守則：你不可能準確掌握最高，如果認為很高，可以選擇分批賣出。
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