這是我們平時接觸的美元價格．．．
這個才是美元價值．．．
價格和價值，何者為重？
當然是價值！
但是人類腦袋的結構問題，
就是容易受價格影響，而忽視了價值．．．
當然是價值！
但是人類腦袋的結構問題，
就是容易受價格影響，而忽視了價值．．．
這是美國的基礎貨幣數量，以這趨勢發展下去，黃金和美元，誰才是最後的勝利者？
1959-01-01 40.656
1959-02-01 40.224
1959-03-01 40.205
1959-04-01 40.409
1959-05-01 40.485
1959-06-01 40.649
1959-07-01 41.062
1959-08-01 40.962
1959-09-01 40.967
1959-10-01 40.945
1959-11-01 41.134
1959-12-01 41.766
1960-01-01 41.015
1960-02-01 40.271
1960-03-01 40.212
1960-04-01 40.329
1960-05-01 40.374
1960-06-01 40.597
1960-07-01 40.944
1960-08-01 40.841
1960-09-01 40.991
1960-10-01 41.114
1960-11-01 41.430
1960-12-01 41.864
1961-01-01 41.158
1961-02-01 40.542
1961-03-01 40.449
1961-04-01 40.510
1961-05-01 40.503
1961-06-01 40.818
1961-07-01 41.110
1961-08-01 41.170
1961-09-01 41.360
1961-10-01 41.654
1961-11-01 42.084
1961-12-01 42.758
1962-01-01 42.059
1962-02-01 41.387
1962-03-01 41.517
1962-04-01 41.770
1962-05-01 41.891
1962-06-01 42.176
1962-07-01 42.530
1962-08-01 42.429
1962-09-01 42.479
1962-10-01 42.699
1962-11-01 43.169
1962-12-01 43.893
1963-01-01 43.215
1963-02-01 42.710
1963-03-01 42.873
1963-04-01 43.107
1963-05-01 43.274
1963-06-01 43.702
1963-07-01 44.193
1963-08-01 44.088
1963-09-01 44.286
1963-10-01 44.454
1963-11-01 45.055
1963-12-01 45.997
1964-01-01 45.270
1964-02-01 44.638
1964-03-01 44.941
1964-04-01 45.126
1964-05-01 45.325
1964-06-01 45.876
1964-07-01 46.314
1964-08-01 46.325
1964-09-01 46.658
1964-10-01 46.865
1964-11-01 47.424
1964-12-01 48.209
1965-01-01 47.534
1965-02-01 46.997
1965-03-01 47.113
1965-04-01 47.395
1965-05-01 47.443
1965-06-01 47.940
1965-07-01 48.499
1965-08-01 48.351
1965-09-01 48.655
1965-10-01 49.084
1965-11-01 49.552
1965-12-01 50.714
1966-01-01 50.130
1966-02-01 49.519
1966-03-01 49.675
1966-04-01 50.101
1966-05-01 50.203
1966-06-01 50.639
1966-07-01 51.244
1966-08-01 50.867
1966-09-01 51.102
1966-10-01 51.251
1966-11-01 51.747
1966-12-01 52.706
1967-01-01 52.162
1967-02-01 51.614
1967-03-01 51.987
1967-04-01 52.154
1967-05-01 52.270
1967-06-01 52.770
1967-07-01 53.380
1967-08-01 53.241
1967-09-01 53.599
1967-10-01 54.090
1967-11-01 54.613
1967-12-01 55.762
1968-01-01 55.193
1968-02-01 54.607
1968-03-01 54.883
1968-04-01 55.296
1968-05-01 55.488
1968-06-01 56.193
1968-07-01 56.836
1968-08-01 56.920
1968-09-01 57.034
1968-10-01 57.535
1968-11-01 58.337
1968-12-01 59.578
1969-01-01 58.927
1969-02-01 58.366
1969-03-01 58.359
1969-04-01 58.635
1969-05-01 59.191
1969-06-01 59.601
1969-07-01 59.942
1969-08-01 60.113
1969-09-01 60.186
1969-10-01 60.694
1969-11-01 61.730
1969-12-01 62.832
1970-01-01 62.138
1970-02-01 61.377
1970-03-01 61.504
1970-04-01 62.214
1970-05-01 62.602
1970-06-01 62.956
1970-07-01 63.710
1970-08-01 63.693
1970-09-01 63.885
1970-10-01 64.391
1970-11-01 65.093
1970-12-01 66.320
1971-01-01 65.938
1971-02-01 65.438
1971-03-01 65.607
1971-04-01 66.295
1971-05-01 66.903
1971-06-01 67.398
1971-07-01 68.479
1971-08-01 68.361
1971-09-01 68.538
1971-10-01 68.706
1971-11-01 69.440
1971-12-01 70.497
1972-01-01 70.342
1972-02-01 69.556
1972-03-01 70.015
1972-04-01 70.866
1972-05-01 71.401
1972-06-01 71.765
1972-07-01 72.676
1972-08-01 72.660
1972-09-01 72.671
1972-10-01 73.523
1972-11-01 74.822
1972-12-01 76.466
1973-01-01 76.398
1973-02-01 75.279
1973-03-01 75.784
1973-04-01 76.783
1973-05-01 77.270
1973-06-01 77.767
1973-07-01 79.085
1973-08-01 78.837
1973-09-01 78.953
1973-10-01 80.051
1973-11-01 80.963
1973-12-01 82.465
1974-01-01 82.387
1974-02-01 81.369
1974-03-01 81.886
1974-04-01 83.417
1974-05-01 84.294
1974-06-01 84.845
1974-07-01 86.012
1974-08-01 86.043
1974-09-01 86.014
1974-10-01 86.356
1974-11-01 87.551
1974-12-01 89.089
1975-01-01 88.285
1975-02-01 87.151
1975-03-01 87.935
1975-04-01 88.839
1975-05-01 89.476
1975-06-01 90.801
1975-07-01 91.954
1975-08-01 91.781
1975-09-01 91.748
1975-10-01 92.254
1975-11-01 93.927
1975-12-01 95.568
1976-01-01 94.827
1976-02-01 93.927
1976-03-01 94.708
1976-04-01 96.231
1976-05-01 97.071
1976-06-01 97.688
1976-07-01 98.914
1976-08-01 98.917
1976-09-01 99.073
1976-10-01 99.882
1976-11-01 101.500
1976-12-01 103.304
1977-01-01 102.844
1977-02-01 101.487
1977-03-01 102.125
1977-04-01 103.818
1977-05-01 104.447
1977-06-01 105.085
1977-07-01 107.162
1977-08-01 107.202
1977-09-01 107.520
1977-10-01 108.566
1977-11-01 110.195
1977-12-01 112.278
1978-01-01 112.119
1978-02-01 111.154
1978-03-01 111.482
1978-04-01 113.101
1978-05-01 114.187
1978-06-01 115.306
1978-07-01 117.107
1978-08-01 116.925
1978-09-01 117.655
1978-10-01 118.854
1978-11-01 120.423
1978-12-01 122.566
1979-01-01 122.030
1979-02-01 120.041
1979-03-01 120.697
1979-04-01 122.539
1979-05-01 123.234
1979-06-01 124.580
1979-07-01 126.679
1979-08-01 127.138
1979-09-01 127.793
1979-10-01 129.224
1979-11-01 131.156
1979-12-01 133.436
1980-01-01 132.831
1980-02-01 131.224
1980-03-01 132.074
1980-04-01 134.425
1980-05-01 134.803
1980-06-01 135.603
1980-07-01 137.545
1980-08-01 138.108
1980-09-01 138.608
1980-10-01 139.896
1980-11-01 142.429
1980-12-01 144.509
1981-01-01 142.300
1981-02-01 140.650
1981-03-01 141.359
1981-04-01 143.518
1981-05-01 144.409
1981-06-01 144.872
1981-07-01 146.823
1981-08-01 146.541
1981-09-01 146.376
1981-10-01 146.791
1981-11-01 148.618
1981-12-01 151.699
1982-01-01 150.835
1982-02-01 148.732
1982-03-01 148.920
1982-04-01 151.189
1982-05-01 152.595
1982-06-01 153.772
1982-07-01 155.455
1982-08-01 155.508
1982-09-01 156.095
1982-10-01 157.397
1982-11-01 159.572
1982-12-01 163.031
1983-01-01 162.027
1983-02-01 161.275
1983-03-01 163.208
1983-04-01 166.078
1983-05-01 167.523
1983-06-01 169.347
1983-07-01 171.275
1983-08-01 171.222
1983-09-01 171.860
1983-10-01 173.226
1983-11-01 175.600
1983-12-01 178.636
1984-01-01 177.904
1984-02-01 175.487
1984-03-01 177.044
1984-04-01 179.621
1984-05-01 180.296
1984-06-01 182.587
1984-07-01 184.487
1984-08-01 184.539
1984-09-01 184.540
1984-10-01 184.704
1984-11-01 186.552
1984-12-01 190.053
1985-01-01 188.530
1985-02-01 187.141
1985-03-01 188.420
1985-04-01 190.895
1985-05-01 192.075
1985-06-01 195.405
1985-07-01 197.589
1985-08-01 198.645
1985-09-01 199.115
1985-10-01 200.001
1985-11-01 202.510
1985-12-01 206.586
1986-01-01 204.842
1986-02-01 202.761
1986-03-01 204.836
1986-04-01 207.827
1986-05-01 209.395
1986-06-01 212.485
1986-07-01 215.256
1986-08-01 215.922
1986-09-01 216.432
1986-10-01 217.626
1986-11-01 221.169
1986-12-01 226.782
1987-01-01 226.283
1987-02-01 223.929
1987-03-01 225.038
1987-04-01 228.797
1987-05-01 229.805
1987-06-01 232.107
1987-07-01 234.064
1987-08-01 234.226
1987-09-01 234.217
1987-10-01 235.786
1987-11-01 239.191
1987-12-01 243.220
1988-01-01 242.840
1988-02-01 240.139
1988-03-01 241.729
1988-04-01 245.610
1988-05-01 246.688
1988-06-01 250.259
1988-07-01 253.004
1988-08-01 252.641
1988-09-01 252.396
1988-10-01 253.133
1988-11-01 256.197
1988-12-01 260.368
1989-01-01 258.786
1989-02-01 255.702
1989-03-01 257.160
1989-04-01 259.661
1989-05-01 259.577
1989-06-01 262.114
1989-07-01 264.036
1989-08-01 263.171
1989-09-01 262.677
1989-10-01 263.357
1989-11-01 266.070
1989-12-01 271.140
1990-01-01 270.480
1990-02-01 268.716
1990-03-01 271.156
1990-04-01 275.435
1990-05-01 276.156
1990-06-01 279.941
1990-07-01 282.577
1990-08-01 284.231
1990-09-01 286.193
1990-10-01 287.715
1990-11-01 291.406
1990-12-01 296.626
1991-01-01 298.579
1991-02-01 298.626
1991-03-01 300.977
1991-04-01 303.326
1991-05-01 303.692
1991-06-01 306.498
1991-07-01 308.589
1991-08-01 309.166
1991-09-01 309.664
1991-10-01 311.463
1991-11-01 315.126
1991-12-01 321.047
1992-01-01 320.394
1992-02-01 320.328
1992-03-01 322.669
1992-04-01 327.418
1992-05-01 328.369
1992-06-01 330.932
1992-07-01 334.072
1992-08-01 336.564
1992-09-01 340.093
1992-10-01 343.619
1992-11-01 347.899
1992-12-01 354.565
1993-01-01 354.420
1993-02-01 353.166
1993-03-01 355.996
1993-04-01 361.621
1993-05-01 364.049
1993-06-01 368.700
1993-07-01 371.957
1993-08-01 374.075
1993-09-01 377.726
1993-10-01 380.801
1993-11-01 384.272
1993-12-01 390.562
1994-01-01 390.987
1994-02-01 390.869
1994-03-01 394.183
1994-04-01 399.850
1994-05-01 400.363
1994-06-01 404.896
1994-07-01 408.374
1994-08-01 409.221
1994-09-01 411.375
1994-10-01 413.128
1994-11-01 417.062
1994-12-01 422.518
1995-01-01 421.815
1995-02-01 419.228
1995-03-01 423.227
1995-04-01 428.721
1995-05-01 429.277
1995-06-01 430.247
1995-07-01 431.270
1995-08-01 431.073
1995-09-01 431.624
1995-10-01 431.583
1995-11-01 433.205
1995-12-01 439.027
1996-01-01 436.034
1996-02-01 430.361
1996-03-01 434.896
1996-04-01 437.142
1996-05-01 436.154
1996-06-01 439.878
1996-07-01 443.189
1996-08-01 444.653
1996-09-01 445.531
1996-10-01 445.399
1996-11-01 449.159
1996-12-01 456.632
1997-01-01 455.477
1997-02-01 452.469
1997-03-01 455.084
1997-04-01 457.985
1997-05-01 458.146
1997-06-01 461.631
1997-07-01 465.308
1997-08-01 466.943
1997-09-01 468.312
1997-10-01 470.350
1997-11-01 476.558
1997-12-01 484.986
1998-01-01 484.346
1998-02-01 481.371
1998-03-01 483.946
1998-04-01 486.754
1998-05-01 487.891
1998-06-01 491.117
1998-07-01 495.254
1998-08-01 497.500
1998-09-01 501.008
1998-10-01 504.895
1998-11-01 510.301
1998-12-01 518.273
1999-01-01 519.979
1999-02-01 519.908
1999-03-01 523.573
1999-04-01 527.819
1999-05-01 533.119
1999-06-01 535.964
1999-07-01 540.920
1999-08-01 543.906
1999-09-01 548.489
1999-10-01 555.754
1999-11-01 572.038
1999-12-01 600.717
2000-01-01 597.382
2000-02-01 571.991
2000-03-01 570.426
2000-04-01 571.667
2000-05-01 573.394
2000-06-01 574.809
2000-07-01 577.492
2000-08-01 576.693
2000-09-01 576.827
2000-10-01 578.215
2000-11-01 582.258
2000-12-01 589.954
2001-01-01 591.330
2001-02-01 588.800
2001-03-01 591.209
2001-04-01 594.895
2001-05-01 598.559
2001-06-01 601.554
2001-07-01 608.228
2001-08-01 614.545
2001-09-01 637.967
2001-10-01 627.787
2001-11-01 629.658
2001-12-01 639.899
2002-01-01 644.265
2002-02-01 645.684
2002-03-01 649.187
2002-04-01 653.261
2002-05-01 657.977
2002-06-01 662.819
2002-07-01 668.677
2002-08-01 669.243
2002-09-01 669.644
2002-10-01 671.429
2002-11-01 676.720
2002-12-01 686.225
2003-01-01 688.319
2003-02-01 690.210
2003-03-01 693.839
2003-04-01 697.740
2003-05-01 701.457
2003-06-01 703.350
2003-07-01 705.642
2003-08-01 709.008
2003-09-01 708.978
2003-10-01 712.574
2003-11-01 717.138
2003-12-01 725.210
2004-01-01 725.154
2004-02-01 723.957
2004-03-01 725.655
2004-04-01 729.950
2004-05-01 733.500
2004-06-01 738.972
2004-07-01 746.525
2004-08-01 746.651
2004-09-01 750.545
2004-10-01 752.755
2004-11-01 758.336
2004-12-01 764.656
2005-01-01 763.775
2005-02-01 763.186
2005-03-01 764.669
2005-04-01 766.243
2005-05-01 766.796
2005-06-01 770.802
2005-07-01 774.299
2005-08-01 774.303
2005-09-01 777.508
2005-10-01 778.267
2005-11-01 783.956
2005-12-01 793.375
2006-01-01 795.220
2006-02-01 796.175
2006-03-01 798.237
2006-04-01 800.948
2006-05-01 804.820
2006-06-01 805.018
2006-07-01 804.751
2006-08-01 802.777
2006-09-01 803.219
2006-10-01 802.331
2006-11-01 808.514
2006-12-01 818.399
2007-01-01 816.771
2007-02-01 812.799
2007-03-01 813.846
2007-04-01 815.885
2007-05-01 818.495
2007-06-01 820.000
2007-07-01 821.901
2007-08-01 822.984
2007-09-01 819.941
2007-10-01 821.832
2007-11-01 826.591
2007-12-01 829.762
2008-01-01 824.362
2008-02-01 822.542
2008-03-01 826.027
2008-04-01 823.914
2008-05-01 827.895
2008-06-01 832.831
2008-07-01 840.354
2008-08-01 841.064
2008-09-01 900.921
2008-10-01 1125.881
2008-11-01 1435.144
2008-12-01 1659.219
2009-01-01 1707.200
2009-02-01 1557.229
2009-03-01 1642.374
2009-04-01 1748.051
2009-05-01 1770.142
2009-06-01 1679.350
2009-07-01 1667.929
2009-08-01 1700.855
2009-09-01 1795.704
2009-10-01 1931.729
2009-11-01 2018.275
2009-12-01 2022.130
2010-01-01 1991.830
2010-02-01 2111.730
2010-03-01 2076.988
2010-04-01 2011.833
2010-05-01 2008.492
2010-06-01 1998.889
2010-07-01 1991.467
2010-08-01 1991.045
2010-09-01 1957.773
2010-10-01 1958.708
2010-11-01 1968.065
2010-12-01 2013.656
2011-01-01 2045.427
2011-02-01 2208.453
2011-03-01 2392.145
2011-04-01 2493.684
2011-05-01 2563.466
2011-06-01 2645.014
2011-07-01 2680.745
2011-08-01 2653.782
2011-09-01 2633.802
2011-10-01 2634.065
2011-11-01 2598.604
2011-12-01 2614.580
2012-01-01 2638.523
2012-02-01 2692.599
給一個暗示，歷史上還沒聽過紙張比黃金值錢的事情。
就像如果發生世界末日，你認為人類和蟑螂，哪一個會先絕種一樣，答案是明顯不過的。
最新新聞：銀價或將迎來暴風雨後的寧靜
銀價上演過山車的日子或已一去不返。
這一所謂的“魔鬼的金屬” (Devil's Metal)在今年頭兩個月中價格上漲了33%，然後又回吐了幾乎一半的漲幅。但對銀價來說，這還算相對平穩的：去年1至4月份，銀價飆升了57%，最終卻以9.8%的跌幅作別2011年。
高昂的保証金要求正在遏制銀價波幅。紐約商交所Comex分部5,000盎司期銀合約的初始保証金為21,600美元，相當於合約面值的13%左右。而相應的黃金和原油期貨合約的初始保証金為10,125美元和6,885美元，分別為合約面值的6%和6.6%。
更高的保証金要求打擊了投機者的積極性：未平倉銀期貨合約數僅略高於100,000張，遠低於去年峰值150,000張。而且據金屬咨詢公司CPM Group稱，去年對於實物銀的投資需求雖然有所攀升，但也只佔到總體需求的14.2%。
銀的命運與全球經濟表現更加相關。CPM數據顯示，2011年工業應用、攝影、電子產品和珠寶方面的需求佔銀需求總量的86%左右。鑒於歐洲經濟陷入泥淖，中國經濟料將減速，而且美國經濟復蘇步伐未穩，很難對銀的工業需求上升產生信心。所以，銀期貨價格從2月份的頂點每盎司37.14美元回落了10.5%。
如果經濟明顯好轉，或是貨幣政策進一步放鬆，銀價將受到提振。不幸的是，這兩者分別代表了對經濟最樂觀和最悲觀的假設。
美國聯邦儲備委員會(Federal Reserve)最新的會議紀要也打擊了市場對進一步定量寬鬆政策出台的預期。目前，在多重阻力之下，經濟正在緩慢但持續地復蘇，這個沒有太多戲劇性的現實預示著，銀價也不會出現戲劇性的波動。
Tatyana Shumsky
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